Investing in Intelligent Applications – 2020 and beyond

We have been writing about the Intelligent App Application Stack for over five years – which means we’ve been investing it in for even longer. And that has not changed in 2020. We continue to believe that applications will be intelligent. What has changed over that time is both the rate of adoption and the availability of underlying infrastructure and technology to support these applications. In this post we detail four areas that we are continuing to see innovation around intelligent applications.

We define application intelligence as the process of using machine learning to create apps that use historical and real-time data to build a continuous learning system and make predictions and deliver rich, adaptive, personalized experiences for users. Intelligent applications typically have a modern user experience; a cloud-native, microservices architecture, and integrations to other systems and cloud services. We believe that every successful new application built today and, in the future, will be an intelligent application.

What benefits do intelligent applications deliver? We believe that next generation intelligent apps will allow us to:

  • Create custom workflows to automate any process
  • Process data in real-time across multiple systems of records to deliver insights and predictive capabilities
  • Build digital-first go to market and customer service models
  • Provide better services with lower delivery and customer service costs
  • Become the new systems of intelligence on top of legacy transactional systems

What are the types of intelligent applications that we are seeking to invest in at Madrona? Here are four broad categories where we see immense opportunities:

1. Automation

Many of the most impactful “intelligent apps” today focus on identifying repetitive, time-consuming processes and creating new ways to handle these workflows in a way that allows customers to focus more of their time on high-value synthesis and cognitive work. This is a cornerstone of the digital transformation that every enterprise around the world is currently going through.

The largest companies in this space today are the robotic process automation (RPA) vendors, such as Madrona portfolio company, UiPath. These companies have built horizontal platforms that allows companies to automate individual steps of a workflow, such as opening up a PDF document, extracting key data, entering that data into another system, and combining these steps into an automated workflow.

Despite the success of RPA, it is only scratching the surface of what is possible with AI and automation. With innovations in computer vision, natural language understanding, and other machine learning techniques, we are also seeing more and more companies build “RPA”-like automation into new products to create end-to-end workflows for specific use cases in industries such as legal services, financial services, healthcare, and real estate.

Some of the most interesting companies in this space go beyond automating one workflow to automating multiple workflows and creating a new integrated workflow. For example, a company like Zeitworks uses machine learning to map out a customer’s workflows in order to help understand which processes can be automated and to track how they perform over time. Madrona funded Zeitworks’ seed round in June of 2020 recognizing both the need for discovery of workflows prior to applying automation and the fact that automation for small to medium sized firms is particularly needed as the workforce and resources they need are not co-located any longer.

2. Next Generation Business Applications

Many of today’s key business systems for finance, HR, sales, and customer support were built decades ago, with software architectures that have not changed for the last twenty years. While these companies have built large businesses around certain types of customer behavior, they are often unable to innovate at the same pace that modern companies need.

We believe the most successful next-gen business applications will compete with their legacy alternatives by attacking a small portion of what their legacy competitors offer today or completely reimagining a business process that can only be enabled with modern software architectures.

For example, in the travel and expense space, Concur was founded in 1993 and built a massive business digitizing a manual process where paper receipts and expenses were passed from employees, to managers, to FP&A teams. Modern startups are transforming this process by reorienting around purchase data instead of receipts and forms. Rather than waiting for a month after a purchase is made, modern tools like Center deeply integrate credit cards with enterprise grade software to process expenses as they occur to give managers real-time insights into employee purchasing behavior and budgets.

HighSpot, a Madrona portfolio company, is another example of an intelligent application that uses integrations and data from multiple systems to help sales teams find the right content and relevant guidance for each conversation. By using data from CRM systems, email, and other workflow tools, their system is able to score content and understand what engages customers and drives revenue.

These types of workflows and systems are possible today because of modern microservices architectures that can process data in real-time, stream data to and from other systems, and convert data and insights into immediate actions. While many of these modern platforms start with a small feature like better insights, better UI, or better data, we believe they have the potential to eventually replace legacy systems.

3. “Avant Garde” Applications

Photo of an Amazon Go cashierless store.

“Avant garde” applications create completely new experiences and products by using machine learning – services that just weren’t possible before the combination of low-cost cloud computing, massive amounts of data, and new machine learning algorithms.

ML breakthroughs in fields like robotics and computer vision have created self-driving automobiles, which enable completely new vehicle form factors, business models, and services. Alexa, Siri, and Google Home’s voice assistants enable new interaction models that would not have been possible without advancements in natural language processing.

Many of the companies in this category are pioneers in bringing important new technologies such as computer vision, deep learning, robotics, and NLP to market, so it is a very dynamic space to watch because it sits at the intersection of massive markets, cutting-edge technologies, and novel business models.

For example, Amazon Go has created a completely new shopping experience by using computer vision technology to reimagine the shopping workflow. This allows for the construction of stores with new layouts that don’t require cash registers at the exit and may one day allow for retail stores to adopt new business models as well.

4. Intersection of Innovation spanning Life Science and Data Science

This is a vertical specific intelligent application category. However, given the potential opportunity size and impact, we have called it out seperately.

Whether it is in the field of diagnostics, therapeutics, or healthcare operational efficiencies, the availability of massive data sets combined with applied ML/AI is revolutionizing what is possible in the fields of life science and healthcare. For example, a company such as Adaptive Biotechnologies leverages decades of research on the immune system, next generation sequencing, and machine learning in order to detect changes in the immune system to diagnose disease.

While these companies can become massive winners, they may also be harder to measure and monetize in the short term. However, as early stage investors, we are excited to continue exploring investments in this category.

Over the next decade, we believe that every successful new application will be an intelligent application, and this will lead to many opportunities to build enduring software companies. If you are working on building an intelligent app in one of these categories, we would love to meet you and learn more! Our contact info is linked in our byline!

University of Washington AI Project Takes Madrona Prize At Industrial Affiliates Day

Photo: CoAI team, Joseph Janizek and Gabriel Erion with Tim Porter at the Allen School

Madrona awarded the 14th Annual Madrona Prize to the CoAI team at the University of Washington’s Paul G. Allen School of Computer Science & Engineering. CoAI: Cost Aware Artificial Intelligence for Health Care applies ML to help healthcare professionals use accurate predictive models in time-sensitive and potentially life-threatening situations. The field of cost-sensitive ML builds algorithms that automate the feature selection step, automatically choosing the best subset of input variables to make a high-accuracy prediction. CoAI applies this field to the clinical setting — where “cost” is time — and enables, for instance, an EMT to run the appropriate predictive model while in the ambulance ride to the ER, rather than losing critical minutes after the patient arrives.

The team of consisted of PhD/MD graduate students Gabriel Erion and Joseph Janizek with MDs, Carley Hudelson and Nathan White and the head of UW’s Laboratory for Artificial Intelligence for Medicine and Science, Professor Su-In Lee.

The Madrona Prize is awarded at the end of the Allen School’s annual Industry Affiliates Research Day. The event includes technical talks throughout the day and culminates in an open house and poster session that showcases the latest research projects and papers being pursued by faculty and students at the school. The Madrona Prize has been awarded for 13 straight years and goes to the project that combines excellent research with what we feel is the greatest commercial potential. Since Madrona’s inception more than two decades ago, Madrona has funded 18 companies out of the Allen School. These companies include Impinj (NAS:PI), SkyTap and Turi (acquired by Apple), and most recently, OctoML, a company based on the TVM research project that won a Madrona Prize in 2017.

“The Allen School at the UW is an incredibly important resource for our region and as the school has grown and actively attracted researchers from many different areas, we have seen the breadth and depth of innovation grow,” said Tim Porter managing director, Madrona Venture Group. “Talking with the students during the research day is truly one of the highlights of our year, and we are both excited and inspired by all of the innovative projects we saw.”

Each year, the Madrona committee also awards runner-up prizes. This year the runners up were:

Runners Up
AuraRing: Precise Electromagnetic Finger Tracking via Smart Ring
Farshid Salemi Parizi, Eric Whitmire, Alvin Cao, Tianke Li, Ishan Chatterjee
Advisor: Shwetak Patel

HomeSound: Exploring Sound Awareness In The Home For People Who Are Deaf And Hard Of Hearing
Dhruv Jain, Kelly Mack, Steven Goodman
Advisors: Leah Findlater and Jon Froehlich

Molecular tagging with nanopore-orthogonal DNA strands
Katie Doroschak, Karen Zhang, Melissa Queen, Aishwarya Mandyam, Jeff Nivala
Advisors: Karin Strauss and Luis Ceze

For past winners visit click here.

The Finalists in Microsoft Ventures and Madrona Venture Group Innovate.AI Startup Competition

It’s been an exciting time since we announced the Innovate.AI startup competition with our partners at Microsoft Ventures last October. What started as an idea we shared with our friends there, evolved into a global competition generating interest from some of the most innovative companies in the ML/AI field. We’ve been thrilled with the enthusiasm and strong response we received and would like to thank each participating company for their submission and the judges for the countless hours they spent evaluating each application.

The competition showcased the breadth of problems and use cases that companies are addressing by applying ML/AI. A couple of interesting observations about trends from the applicant pool emerged:

  • Intelligent Applications are on the rise – as data become plentiful and easily available and accessible, using AI and ML to build a continuous learning system is a fundamental fabric of every application is the way of the future. Many of the companies are targeting a variety of industries with plentiful and readily available datasets.
  • Innovation follows data availability – most companies that are thinking about innovative ways to provide insights and predictive analytics focus a lot on their data strategy and how to best organize and use the data they have as an integral part of the value they can and want to deliver to their customers.
  • Business models are still evolving: most ML/AI companies don’t fit the traditional software model of selling licenses or software-as-a-service. We saw a combination of business models, some leaning towards pure professional services, others a hybrid between licensing and SaaS. It’s clearly an area that will evolve as the companies mature.

Additionally, we saw a concentration in the following verticals:

  • Healthcare & Research: personal and mental health assistants, drug research and diagnosis, and computer vision to spot patterns and abnormalities.
  • Financial Services: research summaries and insights for investment professionals.
  • IoT & Edge Computing: analyzing data from edge devices, predictive maintenance, security and autonomous vehicle applications
  • Sales & Marketing: optimizing leads and focusing sales people on top opportunities.
  • Retail: Using computer vision to automatically recognize and tag items in images and video, enhanced advertising & shopping experiences.

And finally, we’d like to congratulate all of our finalists and welcome them to the final stage of the competition. Here is a closer look at who they are:

  • Alpha Vertex: cognitive systems for the financial services community.
  • ConceptualEyes: accelerates the speed of pharmaceutical research and discovery with artificial intelligence.
  • Envisagencis, Inc.: uses artificial intelligence to unlock cures for hundreds of diseases caused by RNA splicing.
  • FunnelBeam: a customizable sales intelligence platform.
  • ID R&D Inc: next-generation authentication solutions including voice, behavioral, and fusion biometrics.
  • TARA Intelligence Inc: a SaaS application to scope projects, assign developers, and monitor ongoing performance to build software faster.
  • Uru: fusing computer vision and artificial intelligence to create better ad experiences for video.
  • Wallarm: an adaptive, intelligent, application security platform.
  • Waygum, Inc.: intelligent IOT platform and mobile app for manufacturing.

 

To see a list of finalists in Europe and Israel, visit Microsoft Ventures.

 

Re:Invent: 2017 Preview & Predictions

AWS is another year older, bigger and more diverse and so will be the 6th Annual Re:Invent conference. Over 40,000 attendees are expected to attend the event reflecting the success of AWS and the cloud movement that the company kick-started. If AWS was a standalone company, it would be recognized as the software company that hit a $20 billion annual revenue run rate in the shortest amount of time. From a branding perspective, AWS appears focused on courting “builders” including business leaders, product managers and developers who want to create, or recreate in the cloud, solutions that solve real world problems. From a thematic perspective, I anticipate five broad areas to be highlighted:

  1. Modern services for modern cloud apps
  2. ML/AI everywhere!
  3. Hybrid workloads go mainstream
  4. Enterprise agility exceeds cost savings
  5. Customer focus balanced with competitive realities

Modern Services and ML/AI

The first two themes – Modern services and ML/AI are targeted at the grass roots builders and innovators who have long been associated with AWS. Modern services include containerized or “serverless” workloads that work individually or in conjunction with other microservices and event-driven functions like AWS Lambda functions. These technologies deliver greater flexibility, interoperability and cost effectiveness for many applications. And, they can be used to either build new applications or help modernize traditional applications. I have spoken to several smaller businesses and small teams at larger companies who are leveraging these capabilities to build more responsive and cost-effective applications.

Credit to @awsgeek, Jerry Hargrove

At Re:Invent we expect to see AWS embracing community standard like Kubernetes for orchestrating modern containers like Docker. Above is a visual highlighting AWS Elastic Container Service and the use of related services on AWS. AWS will also highlight innovative approaches in the cloud and at the edge that build on Lambda functions to ingest data and automatically produce a functional output. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a “developer pipeline” for building, testing and developing these types of event-driven applications.

ML/AI will likely be broadly highlighted in both Andy Jassy’s Day One keynote and the second keynote on Thursday. This category is where the most disruptive innovation is taking place and the fiercest platform competition is occurring. AWS will feature enhancements or new offerings at four levels.

At a platform level, they are expected to highlight Ironman as a unifying layer to help developers ingest and organize data and then design, test and run intelligent (ML/AI powered) applications. This platform leverages MXNet, which is a machine and deep learning framework originally built at the University of Washington, which has properties similar to Google’s Tensorflow framework. Ironman will leverage a new developer tool framework called Gluon that AWS and Microsoft recently launched.

At a core services level, AWS will continue to enhance AWS ML services and infrastructure processing services like GPU’s and FPGA’s that support the data scientists who can build and train their own data models.

For teams that need more finished ML/AI services, AWS will highlight improved versions of ReKognition, Lex and Polly. I also expect new finished services that leverage pre-trained data models the existing offerings to be announced.

The fourth area of ML/AI will be in the context of leveraging other services either built by AWS or AWS partners that deliver solutions to customers. AWS will likely focus on a combination of running cloud services (AWS, Non-AWS) as well as simplifying ML/AI at the edge. For example, third parties are increasingly building security services like Extrahop’s Addy or Palo Alto Network’s cloud firewall and SAAS security services on AWS. Other services using data stored or processed in AWS, often in data warehouses like Snowflake or Redshift, are rapidly growing for vertical markets and for specific use cases like customer personalization, fraud detection or health recommendations. Seeing what AWS and partners announce in ML/AI powered services across the platform, core services, finished services and solutions layers is likely to be the most exciting area of news at Re:Invent this year.

Matt McIlwain-Madrona Venture Group

“Seeing what AWS and partners announce in ML/AI powered services across the platform, core services, finished services and solutions layers is likely to be the most exciting area of news at Re:Invent this year.”

Hybrid Workloads and Enterprise Agility Solutions

While there are pockets of enterprise innovation in ML/AI and “serverless”, the biggest areas of enterprise focus are going to be hybrid applications and enterprise solutions. These areas also highlight some intriguing partnerships between AWS and other technology companies like VMWare, Microsoft and Qumulo.

Last year AWS on VMWare announced a major partnership where AWS created a dedicated, “bare metal” region for VMWare hypervisors, management tools and more running on AWS. This offering has been in beta all year and appears to be gaining strong enterprise traction. It simplifies moving VMWare-based workloads to AWS and enables hybrid workloads when a portion is on AWS and another portion remains on-premise. Customer examples and new capabilities will likely be announced for this partnership. We don’t expect major announcements around bare metal offerings outside VMWare, but enterprise customers are asking for them to be launched in 2018.

While AWS and Microsoft compete for cloud customers on many levels, there has also been a spirit of partnership between the two companies driven by both enterprise customer demand and competitive realities. Microsoft Windows operating system and applications (SQL Server, ActiveSync Directory, Sharepoint and more) are common applications on AWS in addition to their substantial on-premise installed base. AWS is increasingly enabling their defacto cloud standards like S3 object store and EC2 compute instances to run on-premise. AWS has a service called CodeDeploy that enables EC2 instances to run on-premise or for hybrid workloads (https://aws.amazon.com/enterprise/hybrid/). This enables AWS standard services to work with other Microsoft products on-premise. These examples highlight the growing customer demand for hybrid workloads and services across public cloud and on-premise. And, combined with services like Gluon and the Amazon/Microsoft Voice Assistant partnership, the two Seattle-based technology giants are finding ways to work productively together (often to counteract Google).

Beyond the technology giants, smaller companies like Qumulo will be highlighting hybrid workload flexibility and use cases. Qumulo offers a universal, scale-out file system that allows enterprise customers to scale across on-premise and cloud infrastructure. Technology sectors such as storage where Qumulo is focused, application management where New Relic, DataDog and AppDynamics run, along with databases and security and networking will all see “hybrid” highlighted at Re:Invent.

Beyond individual services and workloads, enterprises continue to look for solutions that help them embrace the agility and cost-effectiveness of cloud computing while mitigating the technology and compliance risks and skill-gaps they may face. AWS will continue to highlight their own professional services as well as a cloud-native solution providers like 2nd Watch and Cloudreach and established “systems integrators” like Accenture and CapGemini. But, I expect AWS will emphasize the growing role of the AWS Marketplace this year as a place to find, buy, deploy and bill first and third-party services from. Finally, more software services will be delivered on AWS in a “fully managed” mode. These modern “managed software services” like the aforementioned cloud data warehouse, database/datastores or storage services will help enterprises embrace cloud native applications.

Balancing Customer Focus with Competitive Realities

All four above themes are driven by customer needs and real technological innovations. But, there are also embedded competitive realities across these themes. Microsoft’s Azure adoption continues to grow rapidly. They have also successfully moved customers to Office365 pulling key services like Azure Active Directory and mobile device management with them. In addition, Microsoft is leveraging their on- premise advantage with hybrid solutions and Azure Stack. These offerings help enterprises embrace agility while cost effectively managing legacy hardware and software. Microsoft also continues to invest and promote their ML/AI and serverless capabilities.

Google has emphasized their ML/AI strength with both the Tensorflow open source adoption as well as leveraging differentiated data sources to build and offer data models “as-a-service”. These image, translation and text recognition models have the opportunity to be strategically disruptive for years to come. Of course, Google also operates broadly adopted cloud apps like Gmail and Google Docs where AWS does not. And, the defacto standard for serverless container orchestration and management, Kubernetes, was created inside Google.

These competitors, as well as other enterprise software and hardware incumbents like Oracle, VMWare/Dell, IBM and Salesforce.com and emerging Chinese competitors like Alibaba will continue to invest and challenge AWS in the years ahead as the enterprise gets more fully engaged in the cloud. While I am confident that AWS will remain the clear market leader for years to come, even they will need to continually “re:Invent” themselves to meet growing customer needs and competitive realities. I will be looking for clues about AWS’s future strategy and approach to emerging competition this week.

Note: Extrahop, Qumulo, 2nd Watch and Snowflake are portfolio companies for Madrona Venture Group, where Matt McIlwain is a Managing Director.